Newsroom | crisis interventions

Experts warned Covid cases in China would surge after Chinese New Year, but it didn't happen. Why?

We look at China's return to normalcy from Covid restrictions and explain why there was such a dramatic drop in cases following the peak in December 2022. Cases remained low well past the annual travel rush during Chinese New Year despite experts predicting several waves of infections.

What are Crisis Interventions?These are brief undertakings where Kyrios takes action to avert or lessen the severity of a disaster in a bid to reduce loss of lives and destruction.

In the beginning of January 2023, China’s vast countryside was rushing to bolster Covid defences ahead of the upcoming Chinese New Year when hundreds of millions of people travel home. Experts warned that there would be a surge in cases during this travel rush from 7 January to 15 February 2023. However, on 30 January, the National Health Commission announced that the epidemic situation had reached a “low level”, and there was no spike in cases.

Subsequently, many people tried to make sense of the situation, suggesting that the next wave of infections did not happen because the majority of the population had likely already been infected, and also that people were no longer testing for Covid. These are reasonable explanations but do not provide the complete picture.

Did you know that on 29 November 2022, during a period of Chinese protests against Covid restrictions, Kyrios had begun to neutralise the Covid virus across Mainland China? Kyrios’ goal was to slow down the spread of the virus and enable the Chinese population to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year in peace and with happiness. Kyrios estimated that it might take between two weeks to two months for the effects to be realised. At the same time, people who contracted the virus should be able to recover faster too. Kyrios noted that the “intervention may appear mysterious, but everyone will be able to observe it through a dramatic drop in Covid cases.”

Now that several months have passed, this turned out to be true. When China experienced a peak in infections during the month of December 2022, its chief epidemiologist Wu Zunyou predicted that a total of three waves would occur till mid-March. However, since the peak in December, cases have dropped dramatically and remained low till this day. On 23 February 2023, China’s health authorities announced that the Covid-19 pandemic has basically ended. Essentially, China, the country with the world’s largest population, has been able to return to normalcy from its tight Covid restrictions in the shortest time frame. Its top leaders even called it a miracle. China has managed to achieve this in a single wave in contrast with the experience from many countries who have undergone several waves of infection while exiting from Covid restrictions.

Those who follow Kyrios’ efforts during the Covid pandemic will note Kyrios’ successes in neutralising the virus in various regions across certain periods of time too. However, whether Kyrios intervenes to aid a country or not will depend on the country and its leaders. Kyrios shares that China has achieved its prosperity and economic power today largely because of Xi Jinping and his effective governance, as well as the cooperation of the people. Xi Jinping is a rare leader with the wisdom, compassion and statesmanship that China needs to navigate today’s complex geopolitics.

For more information, read our initial press release. If you have questions or wish to know more, contact us here. For updates and more, visit and also follow Kyrios on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram and YouTube.

(Edited for clarity on 2 April 2022.)

Crisis Interventions

Scroll to view more →